Sunday, November 16, 2014

NFL Playoff Picture after 10 Games


Week 11 was crazy, with Denver and Seattle both losing on the road in Missouri, and Atlanta taking over the NFC South lead with a 4-6 record, making me look foolish for ignoring them the last two weeks. Only Pittsburgh and Carolina have played 11 games, which doesn't impact the schedule now as Pittsburgh plays on Monday night and Carolina are 3-7-1. Here are the playoff standings after 10 games:

NFC

Ari 7-1     Ari 8-1    Ari 9-1
Det 6-2     Det 7-2    Det 7-3
Phi 6-2     Phi 7-2    Phi 7-3
NO  4-4     NO  4-5    Atl 4-6
Dal 6-2     Sea 6-3    GB  7-3
Sea 5-3     Dal 6-3    Dal 7-3
--------    --------   --------
GB  5-3     GB  6-3    SF  6-4
SF  4-4     SF  5-4    Sea 6-4
Car 3-4-1              NO  4-6

Detroit beat Green Bay in Week 3 to take the title (they meet again at Lambeau in the final week) and get the second overall seed due to a better conference record than the Eagles. Philadelphia has a better divisional record than Dallas so they get the NFC East. Atlanta beat New Orleans in overtime back in Week 1 to claim the NFC South (they play at the SuperDome in Week 16).  The Cowboys lose to Green Bay because of a poorer conference record. San Francisco and Seattle still have to play each other twice; if they split, both could be on the outside of the playoffs at the end of the season.

AFC

NE  6-2     NE  7-2    NE  8-2 
Den 6-2     Den 7-2    Den 7-3
Cin 5-2-1   Pit 6-3    Cin 6-3-1
Ind 5-3     Ind 6-3    Ind 6-4
KC  5-3     KC  6-3    KC  7-3
SD  5-3     Cle 6-3    Mia 6-4
--------    --------   ---------
Buf 5-3     Cin 5-3-1  SD  6-4
Mia 5-3     SD  5-4    Bal 6-4
Bal 5-3     Buf 5-4    Pit 6-4
Pit 5-3     Mia 5-4    Cle 6-4
Cle 5-3     Bal 5-4    Hou 5-5
Hou 4-4     Hou 4-5    Buf 5-5

Denver beat KC back in Week 3 so they are the AFC West leaders. Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland are all 6-4 for second place in the AFC North, but Baltimore is 2-1 head-to-head versus the other two, so the Ravens enter the running for the sixth and final seed with Miami and San Diego. The Dolphins win with a better conference record (5-2, Chargers at 5-3, Baltimore at 3-4). A really crazy final six weeks is coming up.

Best,

Sean

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